×
T

Toftir

Home
L W D L D
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
H
HB Torshavn
Away
L W L D W
3W 2D 5L ▲ Improving
Monday, 25th May 2026 Selection
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob72.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge+2.5%Value detected
Kelly %9.2%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #DDD5F368
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 25 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Toftir vs HB Torshavn Competition: Faroe Islands Premier League Date: Monday, 25th May 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 75% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ticket #DDD5F368
Head to Head
Record
2
Toftir
1
Draws
7
HB Torshavn
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Over 2.5 in 50% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Toftir
Metric
HB Torshavn
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.5
2.5
Goals Against / Game
1.9
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-2-5
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
30%
30%
3.9
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
T0
0-0 2.1%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.6%
T1
1-0 3.9%
1-1 7.9%
1-2 7.9%
1-3 5.3%
1-4 2.6%
1-5 1.1%
T2
2-0 3.6%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.9%
2-4 2.4%
2-5 1.0%
T3
3-0 2.3%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 3.0%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.6%
T4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.3%
T5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(7.9%) 1-2(7.9%) 2-1(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Toftir
Overall
3.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
1.7
HB Torshavn
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
03.10.25PL
HB Torshavn5
Toftir1
14.06.25PL
Toftir1
HB Torshavn4
07.03.25PL
HB Torshavn3
Toftir2
18.08.24PL
HB Torshavn1
Toftir0
28.06.24PL
Toftir1
HB Torshavn0
08.04.24PL
Toftir0
HB Torshavn1
04.11.23CUP
Toftir0
HB Torshavn1
30.09.23PL
HB Torshavn3
Toftir3
04.06.23PL
Toftir0
HB Torshavn2
Recent Form
Toftir
17.05.26PL
Toftir1
Klaksvik4
L
10.05.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
Toftir2
W
03.05.26PL
Toftir1
Streymur1
D
29.04.26CUP
Toftir0
Klaksvik3
L
26.04.26PL
Vikingur2
Toftir2
D
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
W
15.04.26CUP
Toftir7
Midvagur0
W
11.04.26PL
Klaksvik6
Toftir1
L
04.04.26PL
Toftir1
NSI Runavik2
L
21.03.26PL
B36 Torshavn6
Toftir0
L
HB Torshavn
18.05.26PL
HB Torshavn3
Streymur4
L
14.05.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Vikingur1
W
08.05.26PL
NSI Runavik2
HB Torshavn1
L
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
29.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn3
B36 Torshavn1
W
26.04.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Klaksvik2
L
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
L
15.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Sandur0
W
12.04.26PL
Streymur1
HB Torshavn2
W
06.04.26PL
HB Torshavn2
B36 Torshavn2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Faroe Islands Premier League fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is Over 2.5, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.38 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 25 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Toftir vs HB Torshavn?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 75%.
What is Toftir's current form?
Toftir have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has HB Torshavn been performing recently?
HB Torshavn have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Toftir lead with 2 wins versus HB Torshavn's 7, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. BettingProfessional1x2 provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.