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LOST Tip LOST Krasava 0-0 Paralimni
K

Krasava

Home
L D D W W
5W 3D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
0-0
P
Paralimni
Away
L L L L L
1W 0D 9L ▼ Declining
Sunday, 17th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Krasava to win
Krasava 60%
Draw 20%
Paralimni 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob85.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-28.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #DFBE84FE
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 17 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Krasava to win
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Krasava vs Paralimni Competition: Cyprus League Date: Sunday, 17th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Krasava to win) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 57% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Ticket #DFBE84FE
Head to Head
Record
3
Krasava
2
Draws
0
Paralimni
5
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Krasava won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Krasava
Metric
Paralimni
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.7
Goals Against / Game
2.6
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-3-2
W — D — L
1-0-9
Win Rate
50%
10%
3.4
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
K0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 4.0%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
K1
1-0 7.7%
1-1 8.9%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
K3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 7.2%
3-2 4.1%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
K4
4-0 3.4%
4-1 3.9%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
K5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.7%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.8%) 2-0(8.5%) 1-0(7.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Krasava Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Paralimni Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Krasava
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
4.3
Paralimni
Overall
1.0
Scoring
2.0
Defence
1.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 44%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.03.26CL
Krasava4
Paralimni0
05.12.25CL
Paralimni0
Krasava1
13.04.24D2
Paralimni1
Krasava2
16.02.24D2
Krasava2
Paralimni2
30.09.23D2
Paralimni0
Krasava0
Recent Form
Krasava
08.05.26CL
Anorthosis5
Krasava2
L
02.05.26CL
Krasava1
AEL Limassol1
D
25.04.26CL
Omonia Aradippou1
Krasava1
D
19.04.26CL
Krasava3
Achnas1
W
06.04.26CL
Chloraka0
Krasava2
W
21.03.26CL
Krasava1
Ol. Nicosia0
W
16.03.26CL
Krasava4
Paralimni0
W
07.03.26CL
Pafos7
Krasava0
L
01.03.26CL
Chloraka1
Krasava3
W
20.02.26CL
Krasava1
Aris1
D
Paralimni
09.05.26CL
Paralimni1
Achnas3
L
02.05.26CL
Anorthosis2
Paralimni0
L
25.04.26CL
Paralimni1
Chloraka2
L
17.04.26CL
AEL Limassol2
Paralimni1
L
04.04.26CL
Paralimni1
Ol. Nicosia3
L
20.03.26CL
Omonia Aradippou1
Paralimni2
W
16.03.26CL
Krasava4
Paralimni0
L
08.03.26CL
Paralimni0
Aris4
L
28.02.26CL
Anorthosis3
Paralimni0
L
20.02.26CL
Paralimni0
AEL Limassol2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Cyprus League fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.17 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 17 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Krasava vs Paralimni?
Our selection is 1 — Krasava to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Krasava's current form?
Krasava have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Paralimni been performing recently?
Paralimni have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Krasava lead with 3 wins versus Paralimni's 0, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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