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LOST Tip LOST Orlando Pirates 0-0 Durban City
O

Orlando Pirates

Home
W W D W D
7W 3D 0L → Steady
VS
0-0
D
Durban City
Away
D D W D L
3W 3D 4L ▲ Improving
Saturday, 16th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Orlando Pirates to win
Orlando Pirates 60%
Draw 20%
Durban City 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob82.6%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-16.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #9BF59E01
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 16 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Orlando Pirates to win
1.21
Orlando Pirates Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Orlando Pirates vs Durban City Competition: South Africa Premiership Date: Saturday, 16th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Orlando Pirates to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 66% Also: Orlando Pirates Clean Sheet (60%) Ticket #9BF59E01
Head to Head
Record
7
Orlando Pirates
2
Draws
1
Durban City
10
Meetings
1.9
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Orlando Pirates won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Orlando Pirates
Metric
Durban City
2.7
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.2
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-3-0
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
O0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 1.7%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
O1
1-0 13.8%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 3.4%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
O2
2-0 13.4%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
O3
3-0 8.7%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
O4
4-0 4.3%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.8%) 2-0(13.4%) 2-1(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip O=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Orlando Pirates Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Durban City Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Orlando Pirates
Overall
7.9
Scoring
9.0
Defence
8.3
Durban City
Overall
3.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
29.11.25PS
Durban City0
Orlando Pirates2
17.02.23PS
Orlando Pirates2
Durban City1
04.09.22PS
Durban City1
Orlando Pirates0
24.05.22PS
Orlando Pirates4
Durban City1
20.10.21PS
Durban City0
Orlando Pirates0
18.04.21PS
Orlando Pirates2
Durban City0
27.02.21NC
Durban City1
Orlando Pirates3
23.01.21PS
Durban City0
Orlando Pirates1
02.09.20PS
Durban City0
Orlando Pirates1
05.11.19PS
Orlando Pirates0
Durban City0
Recent Form
Orlando Pirates
09.05.26PS
Magesi0
Orlando Pirates3
W
05.05.26PS
Stellenbosch0
Orlando Pirates2
W
26.04.26PS
Orlando Pirates1
Kaizer Chiefs1
D
18.04.26PS
Orlando Pirates3
AmaZulu0
W
10.04.26PS
Richards Bay2
Orlando Pirates2
D
07.04.26PS
Orlando Pirates5
Golden Arrows0
W
22.03.26PS
TS Galaxy0
Orlando Pirates6
W
14.03.26PS
Orlando Pirates1
Siwelele1
D
11.03.26PS
Orlando Pirates2
Richards Bay0
W
04.03.26PS
Polokwane1
Orlando Pirates2
W
Durban City
08.05.26PS
Durban City0
Stellenbosch0
D
05.05.26PS
Siwelele2
Durban City2
D
02.05.26NC
Durban City2
TS Galaxy1
W
24.04.26PS
Durban City1
Orbit College1
D
19.04.26PS
Magesi5
Durban City2
L
11.04.26PS
Golden Arrows1
Durban City0
L
07.04.26PS
Durban City0
Mamelodi Sundowns1
L
04.04.26NC
Durban City1
Casric Stars0
W
22.03.26PS
Durban City1
Richards Bay0
W
15.03.26PS
Kaizer Chiefs1
Durban City0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this South Africa Premiership fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.21 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 16 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Orlando Pirates vs Durban City?
Our selection is 1 — Orlando Pirates to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Orlando Pirates's current form?
Orlando Pirates have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Durban City been performing recently?
Durban City have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Orlando Pirates lead with 7 wins versus Durban City's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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