×
C

Capivariano U20

Home
W D D L D
2W 7D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
7:00 pm
N/A
P
Porto Football U20
Away
L L L L L
1W 2D 7L ▲ Improving
Friday, 31st July 2026 Selection
1
Backing Capivariano U20 to win
Capivariano U20 50%
Draw 30%
Porto Football U20 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob74.1%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-36.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #976994C9
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 31 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Capivariano U20
Metric
Porto Football U20
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
2-7-1
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
20%
10%
2.3
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
C0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 14.0%
1-1 12.6%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 9.8%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 4.0%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.0%) 2-0(9.8%) 2-1(8.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Capivariano U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Porto Football U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Capivariano U20
Overall
4.1
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.7
Porto Football U20
Overall
1.6
Scoring
1.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 27%
Draw & BTTS No 33%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 27%
Draw & Under 2.5 33%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Capivariano U20
17.07.26PAU
Capivariano U202
Referencia U200
W
11.07.26PAU
Palmeiras U202
Capivariano U202
D
03.07.26PAU
Capivariano U202
Ituano U202
D
28.06.26PAU
RB Bragantino U203
Capivariano U201
L
12.06.26PAU
XV de Jau U200
Capivariano U200
D
05.06.26PAU
Capivariano U202
Sfera U201
W
29.05.26PAU
Osasco Audax U200
Capivariano U200
D
09.01.26CPH
Capivariano U203
Rio Branco ES U203
D
06.01.26CPH
Flamengo SP U200
Capivariano U200
D
03.01.26CPH
Vitoria U202
Capivariano U202
D
Porto Football U20
26.07.26PAU
Porto Football U200
Referencia U201
L
18.07.26PAU
RB Bragantino U203
Porto Football U201
L
12.07.26PAU
Agua Santa U201
Porto Football U200
L
05.07.26PAU
Porto Football U200
Palmeiras U201
L
26.06.26PAU
Osasco Audax U201
Porto Football U200
L
14.06.26PAU
Porto Football U200
Sfera U201
L
06.06.26PAU
Porto Football U200
Tanabi U200
D
29.05.26PAU
Guarani U204
Porto Football U200
L
14.06.24PAU
Ponte Preta U201
Porto Football U201
D
07.06.24PAU
Porto Football U203
Guacuano U201
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 31st July 2026, Capivariano U20 host Porto Football U20 at N/A in Brazil Paulista U20. We recommend Capivariano U20 to win as the standout selection.

Capivariano U20 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Porto Football U20 are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: capivariano u20 to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this Brazil Paulista U20 game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and N/A usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 5 losses from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is 1 at @1.35, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 50,30,20%. Kick-off is 7:00 pm.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 31 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Capivariano U20 vs Porto Football U20?
Our selection is 1 — Capivariano U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 38%.
What is Capivariano U20's current form?
Capivariano U20 have won 2, drawn 7 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Porto Football U20 been performing recently?
Porto Football U20 have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game.
⚠️
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