×
S

Sporty

Home
W L L L L
1W 0D 10L → Steady
VS
6:45 pm
N/A
Y
Yarmouk
Away
L D L D W
4W 2D 4L → Steady
Wednesday, 29th July 2026 Selection
2
Backing Yarmouk to win
Sporty 20%
Draw 30%
Yarmouk 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob75.8%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-20.8%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #AB3F0D5E
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 29 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Yarmouk to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals67%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Sporty vs Yarmouk Competition: Kuwait Division 1 Date: Wednesday, 29th July 2026 KO: 6:45 pm Pick: 2 (Yarmouk to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 55% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (67%) Ticket #AB3F0D5E
Head to Head
Record
0
Sporty
0
Draws
2
Yarmouk
2
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Yarmouk won 2 of 2 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Sporty
Metric
Yarmouk
0.6
Goals For / Game
2.2
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.5
9%
Clean Sheets
20%
1-0-10
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
9%
40%
3
Avg Goals
76%
Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
S0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 9.5%
0-2 9.5%
0-3 6.3%
0-4 3.2%
0-5 1.3%
S1
1-0 5.0%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 10.0%
1-3 6.6%
1-4 3.3%
1-5 1.3%
S2
2-0 2.6%
2-1 5.2%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 3.5%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.7%
S3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 1.8%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(10.0%) 0-1(9.5%) 0-2(9.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   Y=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Sporty Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Yarmouk Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Sporty
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.1
Defence
3.9
Yarmouk
Overall
4.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 6%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Away Win & BTTS No 29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 10%
Home Win & Under 2.5 5%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 46%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.12.25DIV
Yarmouk3
Sporty0
15.09.25DIV
Sporty0
Yarmouk2
Recent Form
Sporty
25.07.26DIV
Burgan0
Sporty1
W
20.02.26DIV
Khaitan2
Sporty0
L
05.02.26DIV
Sporty1
Al Shamiya2
L
22.01.26DIV
Sporty0
Al Sulaibikhat1
L
16.01.26DIV
Al Sahel2
Sporty1
L
30.12.25DIV
Al-Jazira3
Sporty2
L
22.12.25DIV
Yarmouk3
Sporty0
L
03.11.25DIV
Sporty1
Burgan2
L
26.10.25DIV
Sporty0
Khaitan1
L
20.10.25DIV
Al Shamiya2
Sporty1
L
04.10.25DIV
Al Sulaibikhat2
Sporty0
L
Yarmouk
25.07.26DIV
Yarmouk0
Al Sahel1
L
20.02.26DIV
Yarmouk3
Al-Jazira3
D
12.02.26EMI
Al Naser3
Yarmouk2
L
04.02.26DIV
Al Sulaibikhat2
Yarmouk2
D
22.01.26DIV
Burgan0
Yarmouk1
W
15.01.26DIV
Khaitan1
Yarmouk2
W
07.01.26CRO
Al Arabi2
Yarmouk1
L
30.12.25DIV
Al Shamiya1
Yarmouk7
W
22.12.25DIV
Yarmouk3
Sporty0
W
03.11.25DIV
Al Sahel2
Yarmouk1
L
Sporty (Home)
05.02.26DIV
Sporty1
Al Shamiya2
L
22.01.26DIV
Sporty0
Al Sulaibikhat1
L
03.11.25DIV
Sporty1
Burgan2
L
26.10.25DIV
Sporty0
Khaitan1
L
29.09.25DIV
Sporty0
Al Sahel2
L
15.09.25DIV
Sporty0
Yarmouk2
L
Yarmouk (Away)
12.02.26EMI
Al Naser3
Yarmouk2
L
04.02.26DIV
Al Sulaibikhat2
Yarmouk2
D
22.01.26DIV
Burgan0
Yarmouk1
W
15.01.26DIV
Khaitan1
Yarmouk2
W
07.01.26CRO
Al Arabi2
Yarmouk1
L
30.12.25DIV
Al Shamiya1
Yarmouk7
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 29th July 2026, Sporty host Yarmouk at N/A in Kuwait Division 1. We recommend Yarmouk to win as the standout selection.

Sporty arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats from their last 11 outings.

Yarmouk are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Sporty, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Yarmouk's 2, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: yarmouk to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this Kuwait Division 1 game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and N/A usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is 2 at @1.32, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 20,30,50%. Kick-off is 6:45 pm.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 29 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sporty vs Yarmouk?
Our selection is 2 — Yarmouk to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Sporty's current form?
Sporty have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 10 of their last 11 matches.
How has Yarmouk been performing recently?
Yarmouk have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sporty lead with 0 wins versus Yarmouk's 2, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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