×
J

Jwayya

Home
L W L D D
3W 4D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
7:30 pm
N/A
A
Al Ansar
Away
D D W D W
6W 3D 0L ▲ Improving
Tuesday, 28th July 2026 Selection
2
Backing Al Ansar to win
Jwayya 20%
Draw 30%
Al Ansar 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob74.6%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-9.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #306E27C7
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 28 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Al Ansar to win
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals84%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Jwayya vs Al Ansar Competition: Lebanon Premier League Date: Tuesday, 28th July 2026 KO: 7:30 pm Pick: 2 (Al Ansar to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 65% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (84%) Ticket #306E27C7
Head to Head
Record
0
Jwayya
0
Draws
3
Al Ansar
3
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Ansar won 3 of 3 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Jwayya
Metric
Al Ansar
1
Goals For / Game
3
1.2
Goals Against / Game
0.8
40%
Clean Sheets
44%
3-4-3
W — D — L
6-3-0
Win Rate
30%
67%
2.9
Avg Goals
84%
Over 1.5
53%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
J0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 10.5%
0-2 11.0%
0-3 7.7%
0-4 4.0%
0-5 1.7%
J1
1-0 4.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.9%
1-4 3.6%
1-5 1.5%
J2
2-0 2.0%
2-1 4.2%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.7%
J3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.3%
3-2 1.3%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
J4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.1%
J5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-2(11.0%) 0-1(10.5%) 1-2(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip J=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Jwayya Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Ansar Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Jwayya
Overall
4.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.0
Al Ansar
Overall
7.7
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.4
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.07.26PL
Al Ansar2
Jwayya0
24.06.26PL
Al Ansar3
Jwayya0
14.12.25PL
Jwayya0
Al Ansar1
Recent Form
Jwayya
24.07.26PL
Nejmeh SC2
Jwayya1
L
20.07.26PL
Jwayya2
Al Ahed0
W
16.07.26PL
Al Ansar2
Jwayya0
L
12.07.26PL
Jwayya0
Nejmeh SC0
D
02.07.26PL
Jwayya0
Al Sahel0
D
28.06.26PL
Jwayya1
Safa1
D
24.06.26PL
Al Ansar3
Jwayya0
L
20.06.26PL
Al Hikma3
Jwayya3
D
16.06.26PL
Jwayya2
Nejmeh SC1
W
18.05.26PL
Jwayya1
Al Hikma0
W
Al Ansar
24.07.26PL
Al Ahed1
Al Ansar1
D
20.07.26PL
Al Ansar1
Nejmeh SC1
D
16.07.26PL
Al Ansar2
Jwayya0
W
12.07.26PL
Al Ansar3
Al Ahed3
D
03.07.26PL
Tadamon0
Al Ansar3
W
29.06.26PL
Al-Mabarrah0
Al Ansar7
W
24.06.26PL
Al Ansar3
Jwayya0
W
20.06.26PL
Al Ansar3
Al Ahed1
W
16.05.26PL
Al Ansar4
Safa1
W
Jwayya (Home)
20.07.26PL
Jwayya2
Al Ahed0
W
12.07.26PL
Jwayya0
Nejmeh SC0
D
02.07.26PL
Jwayya0
Al Sahel0
D
28.06.26PL
Jwayya1
Safa1
D
16.06.26PL
Jwayya2
Nejmeh SC1
W
18.05.26PL
Jwayya1
Al Hikma0
W
27.02.26PL
Jwayya1
Tadamon0
W
06.02.26PL
Jwayya0
Al Ahed1
L
01.02.26PL
Jwayya0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah0
D
Al Ansar (Away)
24.07.26PL
Al Ahed1
Al Ansar1
D
03.07.26PL
Tadamon0
Al Ansar3
W
29.06.26PL
Al-Mabarrah0
Al Ansar7
W
13.02.26PL
Safa0
Al Ansar1
W
08.02.26PL
Racing0
Al Ansar6
W
25.01.26PL
Nejmeh SC0
Al Ansar0
D
18.01.26CUP
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ansar0
L
14.12.25PL
Jwayya0
Al Ansar1
W
06.12.25PL
Al Ahed1
Al Ansar5
W
02.12.25PL
Al Sahel1
Al Ansar1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 28th July 2026, Jwayya host Al Ansar at N/A in Lebanon Premier League. We recommend Al Ansar to win as the standout selection.

Jwayya arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Ansar are travelling well, with a record of 6W 3D 0L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Jwayya, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Al Ansar's 3, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al ansar to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this Lebanon Premier League game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and N/A usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is 2 at @1.34, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 20,30,50%. Kick-off is 7:30 pm.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 28 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Jwayya vs Al Ansar?
Our selection is 2 — Al Ansar to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Jwayya's current form?
Jwayya have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Ansar been performing recently?
Al Ansar have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Jwayya lead with 0 wins versus Al Ansar's 3, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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