×
S

South Africa W

Home
W L W W L
6W 2D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
6:00 pm
Al Medina Stadium (Rabat)
T
Tanzania W
Away
L D D W L
3W 3D 4L → Steady
Monday, 27th July 2026 Selection
1
Backing South Africa W to win
South Africa W 50%
Draw 30%
Tanzania W 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob86.2%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-23.2%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #2A89686E
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 27 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — South Africa W to win
1.16
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No65% South Africa W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
South Africa W vs Tanzania W Competition: ACN Women Date: Monday, 27th July 2026 KO: 6:00 pm Pick: 1 (South Africa W to win) Odds: 1.16 Confidence: 63% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: South Africa W Clean Sheet (60%) Ticket #2A89686E
Head to Head
Record
7
South Africa W
1
Draws
0
Tanzania W
8
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip South Africa W won 7 of the last 8 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
South Africa W
Metric
Tanzania W
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
60%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.2
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
S0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 9.4%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 15.0%
1-1 12.7%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.1%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 3.7%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 4.5%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.0%) 2-0(10.1%) 2-1(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
South Africa W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Tanzania W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
South Africa W
Overall
6.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.0
Tanzania W
Overall
3.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 36%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.07.25ACN
Tanzania W1
South Africa1
27.02.24OG
South Africa W1
Tanzania0
23.02.24OG
Tanzania W0
South Africa3
31.08.14FI
South Africa W6
Tanzania1
20.05.12FI
Tanzania W2
South Africa5
31.10.10ACN
South Africa W2
Tanzania1
04.08.06ACN
Tanzania W0
South Africa4
23.07.06ACN
South Africa W3
Tanzania0
Recent Form
South Africa W
09.06.26FI
Japan W0
South Africa W1
W
06.06.26FI
Japan W5
South Africa W0
L
17.04.26FI
South Africa W2
Algeria W0
W
14.04.26FI
South Africa W1
Algeria W0
W
01.03.26COS
Namibia W2
South Africa W (AET)1
L
27.02.26COS
South Africa W1
Zimbabwe W (PEN 4 - 2)1
W
24.02.26COS
South Africa W1
Lesotho W1
D
21.02.26COS
South Africa W2
Angola W0
W
18.02.26COS
South Africa W2
Malawi W0
W
02.12.25FI
Morocco W0
South Africa W2
W
Tanzania W
23.07.26FI
Nigeria W2
Tanzania W1
L
20.07.26FI
Ghana W0
Tanzania W0
D
06.06.26FI
Tanzania W0
Malawi W0
D
03.06.26FI
Tanzania W1
Malawi W0
W
13.04.26FI
Morocco W3
Tanzania W0
L
28.02.26FI
Russia W4
Tanzania W1
L
28.10.25ACN
Ethiopia W0
Tanzania W1
W
22.10.25ACN
Tanzania W2
Ethiopia W0
W
14.07.25ACN
Ghana W4
Tanzania W1
L
11.07.25ACN
Tanzania W1
South Africa W1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 27th July 2026, South Africa W host Tanzania W at Al Medina Stadium (Rabat) in ACN Women. We recommend South Africa W to win as the standout selection.

South Africa W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Tanzania W are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour South Africa W, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Tanzania W's 0, with 1 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: south africa w to win at odds of 1.16 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this ACN Women game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and Al Medina Stadium (Rabat) usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is 1 at @1.16, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 50,30,20%. Kick-off is 6:00 pm.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 27 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for South Africa W vs Tanzania W?
Our selection is 1 — South Africa W to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is South Africa W's current form?
South Africa W have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tanzania W been performing recently?
Tanzania W have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
South Africa W lead with 7 wins versus Tanzania W's 0, with 1 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. BettingProfessional1x2 provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.